*Justin Bieber, les réseaux sociaux et comment les chiffres peuvent mentir
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What do you know about Justin Bieber? If you’re not a teenage girl, the answer is probably not much. Yet if you want to a glimpse at the future of business, you should take another look.
He is a prime example of how our world is changing and how we’ll have to change with it. Understand Justin Bieber, and you’ll know why business statistics have a serious flaw and how numbers often lie.
The Justin Bieber Story
I’ve been living outside of the US since 1997, when Pearl Jam was still cool. I get back every few years and, from what I gather by the rolling eyes of my teenage nieces, I’ve become decidedly less hip in the interim.
However, even I couldn’t escape Justin. Apparently, what started out as his mother posting videos on YouTube became an internet sensation. His videos were viewed millions of times even before he released his first album, which has sold nearly a million copies. (For the full story, see here)
That makes Justin the first true social media star. He says he feels like he won the lotto, but actually his story is far less likely than that. According to the way today’s businesses are run, his story is more than unlikely, it’s inexplicable.
Justin Bieber in a “Normal” World
Most of business statistics are based on the “normal” distribution, which assumes that events are independent and randomly distributed. It looks like this:
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